Starmer warns Middle East crisis impact could last until Christmas despite Trump ceasefire pledge
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has warned that the effects of the Middle East crisis could be felt until Christmas, despite Donald Trump announcing a potential ceasefire.
Sir Keir welcomed ongoing negotiations and called for urgent steps to reopen the critical Strait of Hormuz but cautioned against assuming the crisis would end quickly. Speaking to the Commons Liaison Committee, he urged policymakers not to take “false comfort,” stressing that the government must prepare for prolonged instability.
He indicated that energy support measures may need to extend into the winter months, beyond the current July–September price cap period, as households face increased demand. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to outline elements of a support package soon.
“The immediate priority has to be a swift resolution of the conflict and a negotiated agreement, particularly on Iran’s nuclear programme,” Starmer said, adding firmly: “This is not our war and we are not getting dragged into this war.”
Donald Trump has said the US will pause military action for five days following “productive conversations” with Iran, though Tehran has denied talks took place. While markets initially rallied on the announcement, oil and gas prices remain elevated.
The Prime Minister is set to meet senior ministers and the Governor of the Bank of England amid concerns over fuel shortages, inflation, and rising living costs. Energy firms have warned that global oil supplies are already down significantly, making price increases unavoidable.
Starmer also signalled plans to strengthen the powers of the Competition and Markets Authority to tackle profiteering in fuel pricing, while acknowledging limited fiscal space for large-scale government intervention.
He concluded that while the UK has no immediate concerns over energy supply, the duration of the crisis remains uncertain, requiring cautious and long-term planning.
