Mussa Dankwa’s Globalinfo Analytics latest poll shows disgruntled NPP supporters will not vote
Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, the presidential candidate of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) may lose a significant number of votes from disgruntled NPP supporters, according to a new poll by Mussa Dankwa, Executive Director of Globalinfo Analytics.
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Speaking about the new poll he released on Tuesday, October 1, 2024 on Metro TV, Mussa Dankwa said his poll shows that Bawumia is under performing among NPP supporters, with 89 per cent of the party’s base backing him.
In comparison, 96 per cent of National Democratic Congress (NDC) supporters are behind John Dramani Mahama, the presidential candidate of the NDC.
“The situation is even more critical when you look at floating voters,” Dankwa explained, noting that 54 per cent of undecided voters are leaning toward Mahama, while only 21 per cent support Bawumia.
He also highlighted that a large portion of voters who haven’t disclosed their party affiliation are shifting toward Mahama, with 51 per cent favouring him compared to 21 per cent for Bawumia.
“This shows a major drop for Bawumia,” Dankwa said. “Many disgruntled NPP supporters are distancing themselves from him, and this is becoming a growing concern for his campaign.”
The poll also showed a significant shift in support among both first-time and older voters. Mahama leads Bawumia 46 per cent to 38 per cent among first-time voters.
Among older voters, the gap widens with Mahama securing 50 per cent of the vote, while Bawumia garners 40 per cent.
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Alan Kyerematen and Nana Kwame Bediako received 4 and 5 per cent, respectively.
Dankwa pointed out regional differences as well, with Mahama taking 54 per cent of the vote in key swing areas like Accra, Western, and Central, compared to Bawumia’s 34 per cent.
“Swing regions are crucial in any election, and these numbers give Mahama a strong lead,” he noted.
Religious demographics were also included in the poll, with Mahama leading Bawumia 46 per cent to 42 per cent among Christians.
Among Muslims, Bawumia’s support has dropped by 3.5 per cent since July.
“This is a notable shift, especially given Bawumia’s popularity within the Muslim community,” Dankwa said.