South Africa's economy 'in crisis'

South Africa's economy 'in crisis'

 The South African economy is 'in crisis' says the country's finance minister Pravin Gordhan.

The comments came ahead of his Budget speech, in which he cut the country's growth forecast for 2016 to 0.9 per cent, down from 1.7 per cent. He conceded the economy was struggling with shrinking growth, 25 per cent unemployment, and widespread poverty.

The South African currency, the rand, which has halved over the past five years, fell after the speech.

It dropped 2.25 per cent to make one rand worth around $0.0639.

 

In a briefing ahead of the Budget, Mr Gordhan said: "There is no doubt about the fact that we are in crisis."

The measures announced in Parliament were aimed at stopping the country falling into recession and to appease the rating agencies who have threatened to downgrade South Africa to junk status, which would raise borrowing costs for the country.

Spending cuts

Mr Gordhan unveiled government spending cuts, a civil service job freeze and some moderate tax rises.

These tax increases affect property sales, fuel, sugary drinks, alcohol, tobacco and and capital gains, as well as environmental levies, which are expected to bring in an extra 18bn rand ($1.18bn; £840m).

He had been expected to announce plans on privatising state assets - he fell short of that but said the government was looking at the possibility of merging the loss-making national carrier, South African Airways, with the state-owned SA Express airline "with a view to engaging with a potential minority equity partner".

Privatisation has long been resisted by sections of the ruling African National Congress (ANC).

"We cannot spend money we do not have. We cannot borrow beyond our ability to repay. Until we ignite growth and generate more revenue we have to be tough on ourselves."

Maike Currie, investment director at Fidelity International, said she was unsure if the measures announced would stop the rating agencies cutting their outlook for the country, as they have warned: "There was no increase in VAT, which has remained unchanged at 14 per cent for two decades now, or income tax hike as the finance minister looked to moderate the impact of tax increases on struggling South African households amid a testing economic backdrop.

"Whether this will be enough to appease rating agencies and businesses, however, remains to be seen".

She added that it was interesting that Mr Gordhan had focused on cutting down government spending without enforcing austerity measures on everyday South Africans, such as raising income tax.

In his Budget speech, South Africa's finance minister was cautiously optimistic and realistic about the challenges facing the country.

He spoke about the need to tackle wasteful expenditure and was candid about corruption.

The most blatant example of misuse of public funds is the Nkandla scandal where officials used taxpayers money to renovate the president's private country home.

His strategy seems to be that of spending less in order to save more.

The minister said that his focus would be to reduce the government deficit to 3.2 per cent this year, and over the next three years.


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